Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: HEAR THE DRUMS BAR AND TOTE OPENS EVERY SATURDAY FOR FEB MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Thunder Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ingqwele 3 61.5 1 0.00 4.0 77 66 77 +0 2 Thunder Master 6 61.0 2 1.75 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Blackberry Breeze 4 54.5 3 2.00 2.0 71 59 61 -10 4 Hollandia Bakkerij 3 58.5 4 2.50 4.0 79 62 69 -10 5 A Bit Chilly 3 60.5 5 2.75 4.0 75 66 66 -9 6 Action America 2 59.5 6 3.25 0.0 81 72 72 -9 7 Pardon Me 5 52.0 7 3.35 0.0 56 56 56 +0 8 Bahamian Beat 3 57.0 8 4.60 4.0 76 57 66 -10 9 Flash Lightning 4 53.5 9 5.35 2.0 68 54 58 -10 10 Outback Express 2 56.0 10 7.60 0.0 74 63 64 -10 11 Eriks Love 3 53.5 11 8.85 4.0 69 50 59 -10 99 Sovereigns Call 4 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Cadenza 4 56.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Mr Belvedere 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Ichacha 3 58.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Coral Creek 3 59.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ingqwele | 77 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Thunder Master Line | 76 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Blackberry Breeze | 71 | 71 | 61 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hollandia Bakkerij | 79 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | A Bit Chilly | 75 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Action America | 81 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pardon Me | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bahamian Beat | 76 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flash Lightning | 68 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Outback Express | 74 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Eriks Love | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sovereigns Call | - | 70 | 64 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cadenza | - | 64 | 59 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mr Belvedere | - | 55 | 51 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ichacha | - | 74 | 60 | +14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Coral Creek | - | 73 | 62 | +11 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points