Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 20 FEBRUARY MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Warofdynamite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chocolate Bomb 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 76 82 76 +0 2 Warofdynamite 2 60.5 2 2.25 3.0 83 83 83 +0 3 North Star 2 61.5 3 3.00 3.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Wordsworth 7 56.0 4 3.25 0.0 68 80 80 +12 5 Basingstoke 2 59.0 5 3.50 3.0 74 80 80 +6 6 Tail Of The Comet 4 61.5 6 4.75 5.0 79 81 81 +2 7 Whatever Next 6 60.0 7 6.00 0.0 76 88 88 +12 8 Griffin Park 4 49.5 8 6.75 5.0 60 57 57 -3 9 Call Of The Karoo 2 58.5 9 7.25 3.0 79 79 79 +0 10 Donny Tee 4 58.0 10 7.35 5.0 72 74 74 +2 11 Larius Lacus 2 58.0 11 9.35 3.0 78 78 78 +0 12 Crowned Hornbill 2 60.5 12 10.85 3.0 80 83 83 +3 99 Rhythm 2 55.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Munchkin 5 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Diamond Jim 3 58.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 76 76 +0 99 Charlie Malone 5 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 99 Wylie Jack 6 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chocolate Bomb | 76 | 82 | 76 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Warofdynamite Line | 83 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | North Star | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wordsworth | 68 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Basingstoke | 74 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tail Of The Comet | 79 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Whatever Next | 76 | 73 | 88 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Griffin Park | 60 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Call Of The Karoo | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Donny Tee | 72 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Larius Lacus | 78 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Crowned Hornbill | 80 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rhythm | - | 67 | 73 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Munchkin | - | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Diamond Jim | - | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Charlie Malone | - | 71 | 83 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Wylie Jack | - | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points