Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: LUCKY FISH MAIDEN DASH OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Waterfront
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bonelli 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 85 85 +6 2 Ready For The Road 3 50.0 2 0.30 4.0 64 59 59 -5 3 O'Fellow 2 51.0 3 1.80 0.0 50 67 67 +17 4 Close Encounter 3 52.5 4 2.00 4.0 60 62 62 +2 5 Waterfront 3 55.5 5 3.00 4.0 67 67 67 +0 6 Tunguska 3 61.5 6 3.40 4.0 71 78 78 +7 7 Gold Gold Baby 3 56.5 7 3.80 4.0 74 68 68 -6 8 Oh So Onederful 3 53.0 8 4.55 4.0 70 60 60 -10 9 Protector Of Peace 3 61.0 9 5.30 4.0 78 76 76 -2 10 Echo Foxtrot 3 52.5 10 12.80 4.0 60 59 59 -1 99 Double Distilled 3 53.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonelli | 79 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ready For The Road | 64 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | O'Fellow | 50 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Close Encounter | 60 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Waterfront Line | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 4.0 | ||
| 6 | Tunguska | 71 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gold Gold Baby | 74 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oh So Onederful | 70 | 66 | 60 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Protector Of Peace | 78 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Echo Foxtrot | 60 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Double Distilled | - | 52 | 61 | -9 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points