Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: LYLE HEWITSON & LUKE FERRARIS CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Java House
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bloomington 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.5 68 63 63 -5 2 Java House 4 52.0 2 3.30 1.0 59 59 59 +0 3 Red Carpet Girl 3 56.0 3 3.55 2.5 69 64 64 -5 4 Rose Willow 4 52.0 4 7.65 1.0 57 58 58 +1 5 Back To Basics 3 56.0 5 8.15 2.5 68 63 63 -5 6 Speechmaker 5 56.0 6 9.25 0.0 64 68 68 +4 7 Scottadito 3 52.0 7 10.00 2.5 64 55 55 -9 8 Princess Queen 3 50.5 8 16.20 2.5 57 52 52 -5 9 Meteoric 3 52.0 9 20.20 2.5 57 55 55 -2 10 Big City Girl 4 58.0 10 23.45 1.0 69 70 70 +1 11 Tiger In The Sun 4 60.0 11 25.25 1.0 70 74 74 +4 99 Tallinn 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 99 Lulu's Boy 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bloomington | 68 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Java House Line | 59 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Red Carpet Girl | 69 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Rose Willow | 57 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Back To Basics | 68 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Speechmaker | 64 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Scottadito | 64 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Princess Queen | 57 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Meteoric | 57 | 76 | 55 | +21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Big City Girl | 69 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tiger In The Sun | 70 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tallinn | - | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lulu's Boy | - | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points