Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: SA DERBY 4 APRIL MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Willow Charm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Warning Light 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 - 67 6 +6 2 Taskmaster (ARG) 2 60.0 2 1.80 3.0 77 70 70 -7 3 Willow Charm 2 60.0 3 5.60 3.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Stokesy 3 60.0 4 11.60 4.5 78 67 68 -10 5 Scorpio 2 60.0 5 15.00 3.0 75 70 70 -5 6 Sky Pilot 3 60.0 6 17.00 4.5 78 67 68 -10 7 Fred Frizzle 3 58.5 7 18.50 4.5 - 64 64 +64 99 Forever Canford 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warning Light | - | 86 | 6 | +80 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Taskmaster (ARG) | 77 | 79 | 70 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Willow Charm Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Stokesy | 78 | 81 | 68 | +13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Scorpio | 75 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sky Pilot | 78 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fred Frizzle | - | 45 | 64 | -19 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Forever Canford | - | 67 | 70 | -3 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points