Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING TODAY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lapis Lazuli
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Oklahoma Smokeshow 2 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 72 63 72 +0 2 Winds Of Grace 3 59.0 2 4.40 3.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Lapis Lazuli 3 53.5 3 6.00 3.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Bay Empire 2 57.0 4 6.30 0.0 66 72 72 +6 5 Mocha Frappe 2 60.5 5 7.50 0.0 73 79 79 +6 6 Vava Vegas 5 52.5 6 7.80 0.0 60 63 63 +3 7 Commander Of All 2 53.0 7 8.90 0.0 58 64 64 +6 8 Peregrine Falcon 4 59.5 8 24.00 2.0 74 73 73 -1 9 Red Amber 2 58.5 9 99.99 0.0 76 75 75 -1 99 Itsnowornever 5 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 99 On A Jet Plane 3 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma Smokeshow | 72 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winds Of Grace | 70 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lapis Lazuli Line | 59 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Bay Empire | 66 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mocha Frappe | 73 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vava Vegas | 60 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Commander Of All | 58 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Peregrine Falcon | 74 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Red Amber | 76 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Itsnowornever | - | 64 | 61 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | On A Jet Plane | - | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points