Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Purple Powahouse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Intrepid 3 63.5 1 0.00 4.5 70 59 59 -11 2 Jane's Vision 2 55.0 2 0.30 3.0 63 45 53 -10 3 Purple Powahouse 8 57.0 3 0.40 0.0 55 55 55 +0 4 Cappellino 3 60.0 4 0.90 4.5 61 52 52 -9 4 Prankster 2 60.5 4 0.90 3.0 69 56 59 -10 6 Trafalgar Square 6 63.0 6 1.90 0.0 69 67 67 -2 7 Kinshin Sha 4 61.5 7 2.30 5.0 65 54 55 -10 8 Gorgeous Bomb 3 56.0 8 2.70 4.5 62 44 52 -10 9 Austrian Beauty 3 56.5 9 3.20 4.5 65 45 55 -10 10 Grand Force 3 54.5 10 4.00 4.5 60 41 50 -10 11 Night Tiger 5 62.0 11 6.60 0.0 67 65 65 -2 99 Arverni Princess 2 58.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Intrepid | 70 | 73 | 59 | +14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Jane's Vision | 63 | 65 | 53 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Purple Powahouse Line | 55 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Cappellino | 61 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Prankster | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trafalgar Square | 69 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kinshin Sha | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gorgeous Bomb | 62 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Austrian Beauty | 65 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Grand Force | 60 | 54 | 50 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Night Tiger | 67 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arverni Princess | - | 67 | 51 | +16 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points