Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: LUCKY FISH NEW FORTUNE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Zagreb
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fast Train           3    60.0    1    0.00     4.5   82    78           78    -4
2    Zagreb               3    60.0    2    0.75     4.5   78    78           78    +0
3    Big Deal             2    60.0    3    1.75     3.0   76    81           81    +5
4    Madra Rua (IRE)      2    60.0    4    2.75     3.0   80    81           81    +1
5    Masteronthemoon      2    60.0    5    4.00     3.0   -     81           81    +81
6    Mutiny In Heaven (I  2    60.0    6    4.75     3.0   -     81           81    +81
7    Sky Rocket           3    60.0    7    5.05     4.5   -     78           78    +78
8    Supposeyou'veheard   2    60.0    8    6.05     3.0   73    81           81    +8
9    Mr Moustache         2    56.0    9    7.30     3.0   69    73           73    +4
10   Volegov              3    60.0    10   9.05     4.5   78    78           78    +0
11   Refiner's Fire       3    60.0    11   10.05    4.5   -     78           78    +78
12   El Douro             3    60.0    12   11.05    4.5   -     78           78    +78
13   Sliver Of Sunshine   3    60.0    13   12.30    4.5   71    78           78    +7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fast Train 82 82 78 +4 4.5 -
2 Zagreb Line 78 78 78 ✓ Match 4.5
3 Big Deal 76 75 81 -6 3.0 -
4 Madra Rua (IRE) 80 80 81 -1 3.0 -
5 Masteronthemoon - 73 81 -8 3.0 -
6 Mutiny In Heaven (IRE) - 75 81 -6 3.0 -
7 Sky Rocket - 71 78 -7 4.5 -
8 Supposeyou'veheard 73 70 81 -11 3.0 -
9 Mr Moustache 69 67 73 -6 3.0 -
10 Volegov 78 78 78 ✓ Match 4.5 -
11 Refiner's Fire - 66 78 -12 4.5 -
12 El Douro - - 78 -78 4.5 -
13 Sliver Of Sunshine 71 66 78 -12 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points