Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: Lucky Fish Power Pick B STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Imperial Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Isivivane 3 61.5 1 0.00 5.0 98 93 93 -5 2 Sundance Kid 5 59.0 2 1.80 0.0 96 101 101 +5 3 Imperial Power 4 55.5 3 4.30 2.5 86 86 86 +0 4 Trois Trois Quatre 5 58.5 4 6.40 0.0 90 97 97 +7 5 Syx Hotfix 3 55.5 5 8.00 5.0 85 81 81 -4 6 African Dusk 5 51.5 6 8.50 0.0 83 83 83 +0 7 Etiquette 3 55.5 7 8.80 5.0 85 81 81 -4 99 Chill In The Air 3 52.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isivivane | 98 | 104 | 93 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sundance Kid | 96 | 96 | 101 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Imperial Power Line | 86 | 89 | 86 | +3 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Trois Trois Quatre | 90 | 87 | 97 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Syx Hotfix | 85 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | African Dusk | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Etiquette | 85 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chill In The Air | - | 82 | 75 | +7 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points