Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 5 MARCH FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Angel's Oasis
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blindfire 2 56.5 1 0.00 3.0 75 64 75 +0 2 Angel's Oasis 3 58.0 2 1.40 4.5 64 64 64 +0 3 Taking A Risk 2 59.5 3 2.60 3.0 73 70 70 -3 4 Lilac Snow 2 57.0 4 3.40 3.0 62 65 65 +3 5 Oriental Bouquet 4 53.5 5 5.10 5.0 55 54 54 -1 6 In The Ether 6 58.0 6 7.60 0.0 64 73 73 +9 7 Varachino's Champ 3 60.5 7 7.85 4.5 75 69 69 -6 8 Time For Charity 5 57.5 8 9.25 0.0 63 72 72 +9 9 Magic Carpet Ride 3 62.0 9 11.25 4.5 72 72 72 +0 10 Queen's Pact 2 58.5 10 11.75 3.0 71 68 68 -3 11 Blup Blup 2 58.5 11 12.85 3.0 70 68 68 -2 12 Red Hot Kisses 2 58.0 12 13.85 3.0 70 67 67 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blindfire | 75 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Angel's Oasis Line | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | Taking A Risk | 73 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lilac Snow | 62 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oriental Bouquet | 55 | 56 | 54 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | In The Ether | 64 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Varachino's Champ | 75 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Time For Charity | 63 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Magic Carpet Ride | 72 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Queen's Pact | 71 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blup Blup | 70 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Red Hot Kisses | 70 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points