Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WOLF POWER SYNDICATE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Red Taffety
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 April Fools' Day 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 - 63 6 +6 2 Gold Gold Baby 3 60.0 2 1.25 4.0 74 67 67 -7 3 Red Taffety 2 60.0 3 1.30 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Spirit Of Nical 3 60.0 4 3.05 4.0 73 65 65 -8 5 Pacific Waters 2 60.0 5 5.80 0.0 77 71 71 -6 6 Up In Flames 2 60.0 6 7.80 0.0 76 71 71 -5 7 World Victory 2 60.0 7 8.30 0.0 58 71 71 +13 8 Fantine 3 60.0 8 16.80 4.0 70 63 63 -7 9 Island Jewel 2 60.0 9 17.30 0.0 59 71 71 +12 10 Beautiful One 2 60.0 10 19.80 0.0 69 71 71 +2 11 Arkansas State 3 60.0 11 20.20 4.0 - 63 63 +63 12 Lovely Dancer 3 60.0 12 22.45 4.0 62 63 63 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | April Fools' Day | - | 78 | 6 | +72 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gold Gold Baby | 74 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Red Taffety Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Spirit Of Nical | 73 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pacific Waters | 77 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Up In Flames | 76 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | World Victory | 58 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fantine | 70 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Island Jewel | 59 | 51 | 71 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Beautiful One | 69 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Arkansas State | - | 48 | 63 | -15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lovely Dancer | 62 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points