Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Given To Fly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mighty Mary 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 76 75 75 -1 2 Given To Fly 3 60.5 2 0.10 3.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Playful Joules 2 56.5 3 0.40 0.0 63 74 74 +11 4 Black Path 6 50.0 4 0.45 0.0 58 61 61 +3 5 Silver Salute 3 61.5 5 0.95 3.0 80 77 77 -3 6 Splash Of Colour 2 56.0 6 1.35 0.0 77 71 71 -6 7 Winter In Auckland 2 58.5 7 3.35 0.0 74 74 74 +0 8 Meg's Legacy 3 59.0 8 4.60 3.0 68 68 68 +0 9 Tokyo Princess 2 55.5 9 7.60 0.0 69 67 67 -2 99 Act Of Grace 2 62.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Mary | 76 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Given To Fly Line | 71 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Playful Joules | 63 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Black Path | 58 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silver Salute | 80 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Splash Of Colour | 77 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter In Auckland | 74 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Meg's Legacy | 68 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tokyo Princess | 69 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Act Of Grace | - | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points