Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: RACING TODAY MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Carnelo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fully Loaded         5    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   88    78           88    +0
2    Carnelo              6    50.5    2    1.00     0.0   67    67           67    +0
3    Fire Storm           3    56.0    3    1.60     4.0   84    69           74    -10
4    Orange County        2    55.5    4    1.90     0.0   80    76           76    -4
5    Palace Attack        2    58.0    5    2.30     0.0   88    80           80    -8
6    Chieftain's Shield   4    56.5    6    2.35     2.0   77    73           73    -4
7    Never Never Land     3    57.0    7    2.75     4.0   86    70           76    -10
8    Spring Tradition     3    59.5    8    4.55     4.0   83    73           73    -10
9    Player               3    61.0    9    5.95     4.0   86    76           76    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fully Loaded 88 94 88 +6 0.0 -
2 Carnelo Line 67 75 67 +8 0.0
3 Fire Storm 84 90 74 +16 4.0 -
4 Orange County 80 77 76 +1 0.0 -
5 Palace Attack 88 86 80 +6 0.0 -
6 Chieftain's Shield 77 80 73 +7 2.0 -
7 Never Never Land 86 85 76 +9 4.0 -
8 Spring Tradition 83 81 73 +8 4.0 -
9 Player 86 84 76 +8 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points