Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 6 MARCH FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
North Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cherry Oh Baby 4 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 76 78 76 +0 2 North Star 2 60.5 2 0.10 3.0 85 85 85 +0 3 Happy Wives 3 61.0 3 0.20 4.5 80 83 83 +3 4 Blowin In The Wind 3 53.5 4 1.45 4.5 70 68 68 -2 5 Whirlybird 2 57.5 5 2.20 3.0 73 79 79 +6 6 Alex Miller 3 56.5 6 2.25 4.5 71 74 74 +3 7 Japanese Garden 2 53.0 7 2.75 3.0 73 70 70 -3 8 Physiologus 2 52.0 8 3.00 3.0 56 68 68 +12 9 Oncidium 2 57.0 9 5.25 3.0 78 78 78 +0 10 Are You Sure 2 57.0 10 5.30 3.0 72 78 78 +6 11 Penny's World 3 52.5 11 5.40 4.5 63 66 66 +3 12 Between The Lines 2 52.5 12 6.15 3.0 74 69 69 -5 13 Endeared 2 51.0 13 6.90 3.0 74 66 66 -8 14 Star Of Elena 2 57.5 14 7.15 3.0 79 79 79 +0 15 Dynasty's Last 5 48.5 15 17.65 0.0 61 67 67 +6 99 Hope Chest 3 60.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 82 82 +0 99 Faraway Girl 2 56.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cherry Oh Baby | 76 | 78 | 76 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | North Star Line | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Happy Wives | 80 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Blowin In The Wind | 70 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Whirlybird | 73 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Alex Miller | 71 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Japanese Garden | 73 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Physiologus | 56 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Oncidium | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Are You Sure | 72 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Penny's World | 63 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Between The Lines | 74 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Endeared | 74 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Star Of Elena | 79 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | Dynasty's Last | 61 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hope Chest | - | 79 | 82 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Faraway Girl | - | 75 | 76 | -1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points