Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: #YOUCANBETONUS! MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Future Gamble
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southampton 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 53 77 59 +6 2 Future Gamble 3 60.0 2 1.60 3.0 77 77 77 +0 3 Twelfth Of Never 2 60.0 3 1.70 0.0 71 83 83 +12 4 Lanteri 3 60.0 4 4.60 3.0 72 74 74 +2 5 Blood Of Eden 2 60.0 5 6.70 0.0 74 80 80 +6 6 Miraculous Moment 3 60.0 6 6.95 3.0 - 74 74 +74 7 Asminderod 3 60.0 7 9.95 3.0 71 74 74 +3 8 Cool Reggae 4 60.0 8 12.35 1.5 61 77 77 +16 9 Villarrica 3 60.0 9 12.75 3.0 - 74 74 +74 10 Without Remorse 2 60.0 10 19.75 0.0 72 80 80 +8 11 Red Enchantress 2 60.0 11 25.25 0.0 66 80 80 +14 12 Keep Warm 2 60.0 12 30.75 0.0 69 80 80 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 53 | 72 | 59 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Future Gamble Line | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Twelfth Of Never | 71 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lanteri | 72 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blood Of Eden | 74 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Miraculous Moment | - | - | 74 | -74 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Asminderod | 71 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cool Reggae | 61 | 64 | 77 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Villarrica | - | 58 | 74 | -16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Without Remorse | 72 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Red Enchantress | 66 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Keep Warm | 69 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points