Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TOTE FOR THE WIN MIDDLE STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Back At The George
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buttercup Baby 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.5 88 85 85 -3 2 Sovereign Grant 4 60.0 2 0.50 4.0 93 90 90 -3 3 Back At The George 2 58.5 3 1.40 2.5 90 90 90 +0 4 Kythera 2 58.5 4 1.45 2.5 87 90 90 +3 5 Convocation 5 60.0 5 1.95 0.0 94 98 98 +4 6 Hierkommiebokkie 5 58.5 6 2.95 0.0 93 95 95 +2 7 Valieva 3 54.0 7 4.15 3.5 78 79 79 +1 99 Magical View 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buttercup Baby | 88 | 98 | 85 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sovereign Grant | 93 | 92 | 90 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Back At The George Line | 90 | 90 | 90 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Kythera | 87 | 87 | 90 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Convocation | 94 | 94 | 98 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hierkommiebokkie | 93 | 90 | 95 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Valieva | 78 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Magical View | - | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points