Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 13 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For All Horses)

Line Horse
Global Drumbeat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Flash Lightning      4    52.0    1    0.00     2.0   66    59           59    -7
2    Blackberry Breeze    4    60.0    2    0.50     2.0   71    82           82    +11
3    Burning Man          3    60.0    3    1.00     4.5   74    76           76    +2
4    Global Drumbeat      3    56.0    4    3.00     4.5   65    65           65    +0
5    Hollandia Bakkerij   3    58.0    5    3.05     4.5   78    69           69    -9
6    Golden Grey          4    56.0    6    3.30     2.0   65    70           70    +5
7    Three Cheers         3    57.0    7    4.30     4.5   80    65           70    -10
8    Preserve Forever     3    47.5    8    5.55     4.5   54    45           45    -9
9    Rototo               3    54.0    9    5.80     4.5   62    58           58    -4
10   Canford Queen        3    52.0    10   7.05     4.5   59    54           54    -5
11   Arividicio           5    52.0    11   9.55     0.0   52    63           63    +11
12   City Of Port Louis   2    56.0    12   99.92    0.0   63    71           71    +8
99   Alado's Pride        7    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     79           79    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Flash Lightning 66 69 59 +10 2.0 -
2 Blackberry Breeze 71 71 82 -11 2.0 -
3 Burning Man 74 74 76 -2 4.5 -
4 Global Drumbeat Line 65 65 65 ✓ Match 4.5
5 Hollandia Bakkerij 78 76 69 +7 4.5 -
6 Golden Grey 65 64 70 -6 2.0 -
7 Three Cheers 80 79 70 +9 4.5 -
8 Preserve Forever 54 53 45 +8 4.5 -
9 Rototo 62 61 58 +3 4.5 -
10 Canford Queen 59 59 54 +5 4.5 -
11 Arividicio 52 50 63 -13 0.0 -
12 City Of Port Louis 63 63 71 -8 0.0 -
99 Alado's Pride - 73 79 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points