Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 13 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Global Drumbeat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flash Lightning 4 52.0 1 0.00 2.0 66 59 59 -7 2 Blackberry Breeze 4 60.0 2 0.50 2.0 71 82 82 +11 3 Burning Man 3 60.0 3 1.00 4.5 74 76 76 +2 4 Global Drumbeat 3 56.0 4 3.00 4.5 65 65 65 +0 5 Hollandia Bakkerij 3 58.0 5 3.05 4.5 78 69 69 -9 6 Golden Grey 4 56.0 6 3.30 2.0 65 70 70 +5 7 Three Cheers 3 57.0 7 4.30 4.5 80 65 70 -10 8 Preserve Forever 3 47.5 8 5.55 4.5 54 45 45 -9 9 Rototo 3 54.0 9 5.80 4.5 62 58 58 -4 10 Canford Queen 3 52.0 10 7.05 4.5 59 54 54 -5 11 Arividicio 5 52.0 11 9.55 0.0 52 63 63 +11 12 City Of Port Louis 2 56.0 12 99.92 0.0 63 71 71 +8 99 Alado's Pride 7 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flash Lightning | 66 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Blackberry Breeze | 71 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Burning Man | 74 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Global Drumbeat Line | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Hollandia Bakkerij | 78 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Grey | 65 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Three Cheers | 80 | 79 | 70 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Preserve Forever | 54 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Rototo | 62 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Canford Queen | 59 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Arividicio | 52 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | City Of Port Louis | 63 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Alado's Pride | - | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points