Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
One Irish Rover
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Yannakis 2 52.5 1 0.00 2.5 63 58 58 -5 2 One Irish Rover 5 53.5 2 1.90 0.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Sun Dazed 6 57.5 3 2.40 0.0 65 73 73 +8 4 Definitely Yes 2 61.0 4 2.45 2.5 72 75 75 +3 5 Happy Wanderer 5 48.5 5 5.15 0.0 55 55 55 +0 6 Intrepid 3 61.5 6 6.05 3.5 73 74 74 +1 7 Trippi's Silk 4 61.5 7 6.10 4.0 73 73 73 +0 8 L'Ultimo 2 52.5 8 6.50 2.5 58 58 58 +0 9 Kinshin Sha 4 57.5 9 6.90 4.0 65 65 65 +0 10 Global Movement 6 58.0 10 7.20 0.0 66 74 74 +8 11 Top Gun 3 59.0 11 7.25 3.5 73 69 69 -4 12 Emoyeni 3 58.0 12 8.85 3.5 66 67 67 +1 13 Grand Force 3 52.0 13 10.15 3.5 57 55 55 -2 99 Love My Style 2 61.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yannakis | 63 | 67 | 58 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | One Irish Rover Line | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Sun Dazed | 65 | 64 | 73 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Definitely Yes | 72 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Happy Wanderer | 55 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Intrepid | 73 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Trippi's Silk | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | L'Ultimo | 58 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Kinshin Sha | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Global Movement | 66 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Top Gun | 73 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Emoyeni | 66 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Grand Force | 57 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Love My Style | - | 75 | 76 | -1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points