Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACING TODAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Alesian Beau
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Atlantic Pearl 2 57.5 1 0.00 2.5 67 63 63 -4 2 Alesian Beau 3 60.0 2 0.75 3.5 66 66 66 +0 3 Here Comes Johnny 3 60.0 3 1.00 3.5 71 66 66 -5 4 Indestructable 3 60.0 4 4.25 3.5 - 66 66 +66 5 Good Shine 2 60.0 5 5.50 2.5 56 68 68 +12 6 Fonte 3 57.5 6 5.75 3.5 - 61 61 +61 7 Magnus The Good 2 60.0 7 5.80 2.5 76 68 68 -8 8 Warrior's Sword 2 56.0 8 5.90 2.5 66 60 60 -6 9 Norse Warrior 2 60.0 9 7.40 2.5 60 68 68 +8 10 Star Trooper 3 60.0 10 10.65 3.5 53 66 66 +13 11 Tomahawk Bill 2 60.0 11 11.90 2.5 55 68 68 +13 12 Lady Majestic 3 57.5 12 13.15 3.5 - 61 61 +61 13 Dead Poets Society 2 60.0 13 20.65 2.5 65 68 68 +3 14 Angel Boy J 3 60.0 14 23.90 3.5 49 66 66 +17 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlantic Pearl | 67 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Alesian Beau Line | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Here Comes Johnny | 71 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Indestructable | - | - | 66 | -66 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Good Shine | 56 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Fonte | - | - | 61 | -61 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Magnus The Good | 76 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Warrior's Sword | 66 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Norse Warrior | 60 | 56 | 68 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Star Trooper | 53 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Tomahawk Bill | 55 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lady Majestic | - | - | 61 | -61 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Dead Poets Society | 65 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Angel Boy J | 49 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points