Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 19 MARCH FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Miss Novax
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Captain Selvie       2    61.0    1    0.00     2.5   85    85           85    +0
2    Waiting On Charlie   2    55.5    2    3.75     2.5   74    74           74    +0
3    Miss Novax           2    61.0    3    4.05     2.5   85    85           85    +0
4    Fiery Frolic         2    56.5    4    4.65     2.5   76    76           76    +0
5    Taking A Risk        2    54.5    5    5.15     2.5   72    72           72    +0
6    Magic Carpet Ride    3    54.5    6    5.35     3.5   67    70           70    +3
7    Play With The Wind   3    61.0    7    5.85     3.5   80    83           83    +3
8    Bell Of Angelus      2    55.5    8    6.65     2.5   74    74           74    +0
9    Inspiration          2    59.0    9    7.35     2.5   81    81           81    +0
10   Plumbago Park        2    56.5    10   8.35     2.5   76    76           76    +0
11   There She Goes       6    59.0    11   8.55     0.0   79    86           86    +7
12   Far Reaching         2    53.0    12   8.80     2.5   64    69           69    +5
13   On A Jet Plane       3    54.0    13   11.80    3.5   71    69           69    -2
14   Royal Horizon        3    55.0    14   13.30    3.5   68    71           71    +3
15   Red Amber            2    56.5    15   16.50    2.5   76    76           76    +0
99   Amazonian            2    56.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     76           76    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Captain Selvie 85 93 85 +8 2.5 -
2 Waiting On Charlie 74 74 74 ✓ Match 2.5 -
3 Miss Novax Line 85 85 85 ✓ Match 2.5
4 Fiery Frolic 76 75 76 -1 2.5 -
5 Taking A Risk 72 70 72 -2 2.5 -
6 Magic Carpet Ride 67 64 70 -6 3.5 -
7 Play With The Wind 80 80 83 -3 3.5 -
8 Bell Of Angelus 74 71 74 -3 2.5 -
9 Inspiration 81 79 81 -2 2.5 -
10 Plumbago Park 76 72 76 -4 2.5 -
11 There She Goes 79 77 86 -9 0.0 -
12 Far Reaching 64 63 69 -6 2.5 -
13 On A Jet Plane 71 71 69 +2 3.5 -
14 Royal Horizon 68 68 71 -3 3.5 -
15 Red Amber 76 71 76 -5 2.5 -
99 Amazonian - 73 76 -3 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points