Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BET WITH TOTE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Siyabambelela
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Luthando 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - 69 6 +6 2 Flying Fate 3 60.0 2 1.10 3.5 - 69 69 +69 3 Siyabambelela 4 60.0 3 1.60 4.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Warrior Rose 3 60.0 4 2.30 3.5 - 69 69 +69 5 Tipperary 3 60.0 5 4.00 3.5 66 69 69 +3 6 Peach Melba 3 60.0 6 5.30 3.5 78 69 69 -9 7 Rosa Osiria 3 60.0 7 14.20 3.5 57 69 69 +12 8 Chaos Queen 3 60.0 8 20.90 3.5 - 69 69 +69 9 Amphitrite 3 56.0 9 26.00 3.5 62 61 61 -1 10 Bella Magic 3 60.0 10 99.99 3.5 - 69 69 +69 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luthando | - | 78 | 6 | +72 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Flying Fate | - | - | 69 | -69 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Siyabambelela Line | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Warrior Rose | - | 68 | 69 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tipperary | 66 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Peach Melba | 78 | 78 | 69 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rosa Osiria | 57 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Chaos Queen | - | - | 69 | -69 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Amphitrite | 62 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Bella Magic | - | 44 | 69 | -25 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points