Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: LUCKY FISH MYSTICAL FORTUNE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Radu
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Saint Brigid 3 62.0 1 0.00 3.0 74 67 67 -7 2 Mississippi Spice 3 53.5 2 1.10 3.0 60 54 54 -6 3 State Capitol 4 48.0 3 2.60 1.5 52 44 44 -8 4 Radu 5 57.0 4 4.20 0.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Deepest Water 3 60.0 5 5.10 3.0 76 63 66 -10 6 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 56.5 6 5.30 3.0 63 56 56 -7 7 Golden Angel 3 61.5 7 6.30 3.0 73 66 66 -7 8 Princess Palace 3 59.5 8 6.45 3.0 69 62 62 -7 9 Golden Croc 2 58.5 9 6.95 0.0 73 66 66 -7 10 Mystique Rouge 3 56.0 10 9.15 3.0 62 55 55 -7 11 Blind Speed 2 57.5 11 12.65 0.0 65 64 64 -1 12 Mountainsofthemoon 2 57.5 12 15.85 0.0 65 64 64 -1 99 Zena's Act 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Brigid | 74 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mississippi Spice | 60 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | State Capitol | 52 | 55 | 44 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Radu Line | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Deepest Water | 76 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 63 | 62 | 56 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Golden Angel | 73 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Princess Palace | 69 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Golden Croc | 73 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mystique Rouge | 62 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blind Speed | 65 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mountainsofthemoon | 65 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zena's Act | - | 76 | 69 | +7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points