Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Position Of Power 3 61.5 1 0.00 3.5 85 78 78 -7 2 Trafalgar Square 6 53.5 2 1.70 0.0 69 69 69 +0 2 Cavalry Commander 3 57.0 2 1.70 3.5 76 69 69 -7 4 Mojo Man 4 59.0 4 1.80 4.0 80 72 72 -8 5 Black Frost 2 51.0 5 2.20 2.5 77 59 67 -10 6 Rainbow Reward 5 60.0 6 2.90 0.0 90 82 82 -8 7 Smorgasbord 6 57.5 7 3.05 0.0 77 77 77 +0 8 Chara Sands 3 53.0 8 3.85 3.5 71 61 61 -10 9 Clever Trevor 2 61.0 9 10.45 2.5 89 79 79 -10 10 Mar Del Plata 2 57.5 10 24.05 2.5 77 72 72 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Position Of Power | 85 | 90 | 78 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Trafalgar Square Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Cavalry Commander | 76 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Mojo Man | 80 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Black Frost | 77 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Rainbow Reward | 90 | 89 | 82 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smorgasbord | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Chara Sands | 71 | 70 | 61 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Clever Trevor | 89 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Mar Del Plata | 77 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points