Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING TODAY FM 98 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Future Date
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Palace Dancer 3 53.5 1 0.00 4.5 85 73 85 +0 2 Kissing Machine 3 54.5 2 0.25 4.5 86 75 76 -10 3 Future Date 2 57.5 3 1.65 0.0 93 93 93 +0 4 Soldier's Eye 4 56.0 4 2.75 2.0 95 85 85 -10 5 Free In Seattle 3 56.5 5 3.95 4.5 91 80 81 -10 6 Bakwena 3 59.5 6 4.05 4.5 97 86 87 -10 7 Mount Etna 4 52.0 7 4.35 2.0 79 75 75 -4 8 Woman's World 4 58.0 8 7.85 2.0 94 87 87 -7 9 Warning Sound 3 54.5 9 8.05 4.5 90 75 80 -10 99 Miss Scaletta 3 57.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 81 81 +0 99 Scarlett Heart 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palace Dancer | 85 | 88 | 85 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kissing Machine | 86 | 88 | 76 | +12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Future Date Line | 93 | 93 | 93 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Soldier's Eye | 95 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Free In Seattle | 91 | 89 | 81 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bakwena | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mount Etna | 79 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Woman's World | 94 | 94 | 87 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Warning Sound | 90 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Scaletta | - | 96 | 81 | +15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Scarlett Heart | - | 108 | 96 | +12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points