Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 3 APRIL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
El Capitan
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Always Shining       3    57.0    1    0.00     2.5   68    63           68    +0
2    El Capitan           2    58.0    2    5.25     0.0   70    70           70    +0
3    Global Speak         3    55.0    3    5.50     2.5   64    59           59    -5
4    Ravilious            3    59.5    4    6.75     2.5   81    68           71    -10
5    Lucky Spirit         3    55.5    5    6.85     2.5   70    60           60    -10
6    Gale Warning         2    60.0    6    6.95     0.0   80    74           74    -6
7    El Romiachi          8    62.5    7    7.70     0.0   79    79           79    +0
8    Notorix              6    57.5    8    7.95     0.0   69    69           69    +0
9    King Rahul           4    53.0    9    8.05     1.5   65    57           57    -8
10   Pyromaniac           6    55.5    10   8.80     0.0   73    65           65    -8
11   Donny Tee            4    58.5    11   9.80     1.5   71    68           68    -3
12   Griffin Park         4    49.5    12   18.80    1.5   58    50           50    -8
99   King's Sailor        3    56.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     62           62    +0
99   Arlu                 2    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Always Shining 68 76 68 +8 2.5 -
2 El Capitan Line 70 70 70 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Global Speak 64 64 59 +5 2.5 -
4 Ravilious 81 81 71 +10 2.5 -
5 Lucky Spirit 70 70 60 +10 2.5 -
6 Gale Warning 80 79 74 +5 0.0 -
7 El Romiachi 79 77 79 -2 0.0 -
8 Notorix 69 68 69 -1 0.0 -
9 King Rahul 65 63 57 +6 1.5 -
10 Pyromaniac 73 71 65 +6 0.0 -
11 Donny Tee 71 68 68 ✓ Match 1.5 -
12 Griffin Park 58 58 50 +8 1.5 -
99 King's Sailor - 67 62 +5 2.5 -
99 Arlu - 68 62 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points