Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING TODAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guerilla Warfare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chieftain's Shield 4 60.5 1 0.00 2.0 75 78 75 +0 2 Deception Pass 4 57.5 2 0.30 2.0 74 77 77 +3 3 War Reporter 3 59.0 3 2.55 4.5 72 72 72 +0 4 Guerilla Warfare 3 60.5 4 2.95 4.5 75 75 75 +0 5 Mocha Frappe 2 57.5 5 3.25 0.0 69 78 78 +9 6 Unsolved Riddle 3 60.0 6 3.95 4.5 77 73 73 -4 7 American Beauty 2 58.5 7 4.20 0.0 77 79 79 +2 8 Pretty Analia 5 54.5 8 4.80 0.0 63 70 70 +7 9 Frangipani 2 60.5 9 5.00 0.0 81 82 82 +1 10 Peregrine Falcon 4 60.0 10 10.50 2.0 74 77 77 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chieftain's Shield | 75 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Deception Pass | 74 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | War Reporter | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Guerilla Warfare Line | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Mocha Frappe | 69 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Unsolved Riddle | 77 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | American Beauty | 77 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pretty Analia | 63 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Frangipani | 81 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Peregrine Falcon | 74 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points