Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH COLOSSUS EXCLUSIVE ON. www.tote.co.za B STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
El Dante
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magic Surprise 2 52.5 1 0.00 2.5 88 73 73 -15 2 Cardinal Chief 2 54.0 2 0.05 2.5 86 76 76 -10 3 El Dante 7 57.0 3 2.95 0.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Little Boy Blue 2 52.5 4 3.95 2.5 83 73 73 -10 5 Magic Tattoo 5 60.0 5 4.25 0.0 95 93 93 -2 6 Red Bomber 2 57.0 6 4.75 2.5 88 82 82 -6 7 Blazing Fury 3 53.0 7 4.95 3.5 90 72 80 -10 8 Donquerari 5 57.0 8 5.55 0.0 88 87 87 -1 9 Connery 4 61.5 9 8.35 4.0 97 88 88 -9 10 Golden Rule 3 62.0 10 8.65 3.5 99 90 90 -9 11 Aversator 2 58.5 11 11.25 2.5 97 85 87 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic Surprise | 88 | 92 | 73 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cardinal Chief | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | El Dante Line | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Little Boy Blue | 83 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Magic Tattoo | 95 | 93 | 93 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Red Bomber | 88 | 86 | 82 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Blazing Fury | 90 | 90 | 80 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Donquerari | 88 | 86 | 87 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Connery | 97 | 96 | 88 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Golden Rule | 99 | 99 | 90 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Aversator | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points