Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE APPRENTICE D STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
One Irish Rover
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    L'Ultimo             2    54.5    1    0.00     2.5   58    54           54    -4
2    One Irish Rover      5    57.5    2    0.10     0.0   65    65           65    +0
3    Catavar              4    59.0    3    2.90     4.0   65    60           60    -5
4    Futano               3    52.0    4    3.60     3.5   56    47           47    -9
5    Got The Word         2    55.5    5    4.10     2.5   52    56           56    +4
6    Count Marsh          7    51.5    6    4.25     0.0   52    53           53    +1
7    Darlingbudsofmay     2    57.5    7    4.65     2.5   73    60           63    -10
8    Quincy Town          3    56.0    8    7.35     3.5   61    55           55    -6
9    Parliament Square    3    51.5    9    7.50     3.5   53    46           46    -7
10   Little Cracker       3    57.5    10   99.97    3.5   61    58           58    -3
99   In The Bag           4    58.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     59           59    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 L'Ultimo 58 61 54 +7 2.5 -
2 One Irish Rover Line 65 65 65 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Catavar 65 64 60 +4 4.0 -
4 Futano 56 55 47 +8 3.5 -
5 Got The Word 52 52 56 -4 2.5 -
6 Count Marsh 52 52 53 -1 0.0 -
7 Darlingbudsofmay 73 70 63 +7 2.5 -
8 Quincy Town 61 61 55 +6 3.5 -
9 Parliament Square 53 53 46 +7 3.5 -
10 Little Cracker 61 61 58 +3 3.5 -
99 In The Bag - 61 59 +2 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points