Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Big Deal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Super Viking         3    60.0    1    0.00     2.5   74    67           67    -7
2    Charlie Bucket       3    60.0    2    0.20     2.5   67    67           67    +0
3    Mutiny In Heaven (I  2    60.0    3    0.25     0.0   -     72           72    +72
4    Big Deal             2    60.0    4    1.00     0.0   76    76           76    +0
5    Zagreb               3    60.0    5    1.40     2.5   78    70           70    -8
6    Born Of Fire         3    60.0    6    3.15     2.5   68    69           69    +1
7    Refiner's Fire       3    60.0    7    4.90     2.5   -     67           67    +67
8    Royal Influencer     3    60.0    8    4.95     2.5   -     67           67    +67
9    Montessori           3    60.0    9    7.70     2.5   79    67           69    -10
10   Caesar's Ransom      2    60.0    10   10.20    0.0   76    72           72    -4
11   Royal Celeb          2    60.0    11   12.95    0.0   -     72           72    +72
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Super Viking 74 77 67 +10 2.5 -
2 Charlie Bucket 67 69 67 +2 2.5 -
3 Mutiny In Heaven (IRE) - 75 72 +3 0.0 -
4 Big Deal Line 76 75 76 -1 0.0
5 Zagreb 78 78 70 +8 2.5 -
6 Born Of Fire 68 70 69 +1 2.5 -
7 Refiner's Fire - 66 67 -1 2.5 -
8 Royal Influencer - 75 67 +8 2.5 -
9 Montessori 79 74 69 +5 2.5 -
10 Caesar's Ransom 76 76 72 +4 0.0 -
11 Royal Celeb - - 72 -72 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points