Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Coppola
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fully Loaded 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 91 85 91 +0 2 Coppola 4 58.5 2 0.90 1.5 83 83 83 +0 3 Got The Feeling 2 59.0 3 1.70 0.0 90 86 86 -4 4 Dark Silver 4 59.5 4 2.95 1.5 85 83 83 -2 5 Orange County 2 56.5 5 3.35 0.0 79 79 79 +0 6 Redlightgreenlight 2 54.0 6 4.85 0.0 80 73 73 -7 7 Eiffel Tower 4 52.0 7 5.15 1.5 70 66 66 -4 8 Dual Prophecy 3 55.0 8 6.55 3.0 79 69 69 -10 9 Mount Darwin 3 57.0 9 7.15 3.0 85 73 75 -10 10 Ideal Summer 2 60.5 10 10.15 0.0 93 86 86 -7 11 Warning Light 3 57.0 11 99.99 3.0 86 73 76 -10 99 Sky Pillar Rock 3 57.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Ringa Ringa Roses 2 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fully Loaded | 91 | 94 | 91 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Coppola Line | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Got The Feeling | 90 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dark Silver | 85 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Orange County | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Redlightgreenlight | 80 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eiffel Tower | 70 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Dual Prophecy | 79 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mount Darwin | 85 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ideal Summer | 93 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Warning Light | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sky Pillar Rock | - | 81 | 74 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ringa Ringa Roses | - | 87 | 80 | +7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points