Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets C STAKES (For All Horses)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Chance Encounter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Bonelli              2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   83    78           78    -5
2    Chance Encounter     2    58.5    2    0.30     0.0   80    80           80    +0
3    Tunguska             3    57.0    3    1.55     3.5   69    68           68    -1
4    Eric Liddell         2    60.0    4    4.05     0.0   82    79           79    -3
5    Primal Instinct      3    57.0    5    4.10     3.5   78    66           68    -10
6    Scottish Links       2    57.0    6    4.50     0.0   70    72           72    +2
7    Balzi Rossi          2    57.0    7    4.80     0.0   76    72           72    -4
8    Noble Hero           3    61.5    8    6.30     3.5   78    74           74    -4
9    Twilight Warrior     3    55.5    9    8.30     3.5   68    62           62    -6
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bonelli 83 86 78 +8 0.0 -
2 Chance Encounter Line 80 80 80 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Tunguska 69 69 68 +1 3.5 -
4 Eric Liddell 82 82 79 +3 0.0 -
5 Primal Instinct 78 76 68 +8 3.5 -
6 Scottish Links 70 69 72 -3 0.0 -
7 Balzi Rossi 76 72 72 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Noble Hero 78 78 74 +4 3.5 -
9 Twilight Warrior 68 68 62 +6 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points