Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Gallic Victor
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Numzaan              2    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   79    81           81    +2
2    Next Of Kin          2    57.0    2    1.50     0.0   81    81           81    +0
3    Gallic Victor        2    58.5    3    2.10     0.0   84    84           84    +0
4    Serpentine Fire      3    59.0    4    2.30     2.5   80    79           79    -1
5    Cheerscheerscheers   3    51.0    5    3.80     2.5   77    62           67    -10
6    Tirpitz              6    60.0    6    5.90     0.0   82    84           84    +2
7    Christmas Cactus     3    52.5    7    7.30     2.5   77    64           67    -10
8    Red Cardinal         2    54.5    8    8.30     0.0   79    73           73    -6
99   Beach Palace         4    52.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     67           67    +0
99   Pongola              5    50.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Numzaan 79 83 81 +2 0.0 -
2 Next Of Kin 81 81 81 ✓ Match 0.0 -
3 Gallic Victor Line 84 84 84 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Serpentine Fire 80 79 79 ✓ Match 2.5 -
5 Cheerscheerscheers 77 75 67 +8 2.5 -
6 Tirpitz 82 80 84 -4 0.0 -
7 Christmas Cactus 77 75 67 +8 2.5 -
8 Red Cardinal 79 79 73 +6 0.0 -
99 Beach Palace - 67 67 ✓ Match 1.0 -
99 Pongola - 66 65 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points