Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gimme A Rainbow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Life Goes On 7 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 66 66 +0 2 Gimme A Rainbow 4 59.5 2 0.70 0.0 65 65 65 +0 3 High Velocity 4 53.5 3 2.10 0.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Gaul Ruler 3 55.5 4 3.50 2.5 60 52 52 -8 5 Quest For The Best 4 50.5 5 3.80 0.0 55 47 47 -8 6 We All Chomies 5 56.0 6 4.05 0.0 61 58 58 -3 7 Pineview 4 56.0 7 4.10 0.0 61 58 58 -3 8 Green Dream 5 59.0 8 7.10 0.0 64 64 64 +0 9 Prince Tyrion 4 60.5 9 9.20 0.0 67 67 67 +0 10 Northern Route 7 57.0 10 10.25 0.0 68 60 60 -8 11 Higher Purpose 4 59.5 11 10.75 0.0 65 65 65 +0 12 Vegas Gold 3 59.5 12 23.75 2.5 68 60 60 -8 99 Fiery Duke 3 57.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Life Goes On | 66 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gimme A Rainbow Line | 65 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | High Velocity | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gaul Ruler | 60 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Quest For The Best | 55 | 76 | 47 | +29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | We All Chomies | 61 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pineview | 61 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Green Dream | 64 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Prince Tyrion | 67 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Northern Route | 68 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Higher Purpose | 65 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Vegas Gold | 68 | 83 | 60 | +23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Fiery Duke | - | 72 | 55 | +17 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points