Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WARREN BAILIE, KEITH BASEL, MICHAEL COETZEE, BENNIE DE WET JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA / RCS Bo
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ushouldbedancing 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 2 Lady Harlequin 2 60.0 2 0.10 2.0 - - - +0 3 Royal Tiara 2 60.0 3 1.60 2.0 - - - +0 4 Molten Rock 2 60.0 4 1.80 2.0 - - - +0 5 Unvarnished Gold 2 60.0 5 7.60 2.0 - - - +0 6 Seachtu Realta 2 60.0 6 11.85 2.0 - - - +0 7 Snow In Sweden 2 60.0 7 11.95 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ushouldbedancing | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Harlequin | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Royal Tiara | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Molten Rock | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Unvarnished Gold | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Seachtu Realta | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Snow In Sweden | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points