Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: HENNIE VAN WYK, NICK BLIGNAUT, JACOBUS VILJOEN MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Vanakkam
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Poblano 3 58.0 1 0.00 3.0 100 106 106 +6 2 Vanakkam 2 50.5 2 0.60 2.0 93 93 93 +0 3 Salute The Flag 3 47.5 3 2.10 3.0 81 85 85 +4 4 Chapbook 2 62.0 4 2.40 2.0 106 116 116 +10 5 Rafa Bay 2 58.0 5 5.50 2.0 96 108 108 +12 6 Chieftain 3 62.5 6 6.00 3.0 106 115 115 +9 7 Fire 'N Flames 4 62.0 7 6.25 3.5 103 113 113 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poblano | 100 | 103 | 106 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Vanakkam Line | 93 | 93 | 93 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Salute The Flag | 81 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Chapbook | 106 | 106 | 116 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rafa Bay | 96 | 96 | 108 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chieftain | 106 | 105 | 115 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fire 'N Flames | 103 | 103 | 113 | -10 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points