Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Call Me Jane
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Victory In Orleans 2 59.5 1 0.00 2.0 84 82 82 -2 2 Midnight Lady 3 57.5 2 0.05 3.0 80 76 76 -4 3 Call Me Jane 3 55.5 3 1.75 3.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Fleur De Ling 4 54.0 4 2.25 3.5 72 68 68 -4 5 Mystic Dancer 2 60.0 5 2.65 2.0 85 83 83 -2 6 December Dawn 2 58.5 6 4.65 2.0 78 80 80 +2 7 Fascination 2 53.0 7 5.85 2.0 79 69 69 -10 8 Mia's Athena 2 56.5 8 15.05 2.0 74 76 76 +2 9 A Good Heart 2 58.0 9 17.45 2.0 81 79 79 -2 99 Scarlet Starlet 3 57.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Celestial Diamond 2 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victory In Orleans | 84 | 88 | 82 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Midnight Lady | 80 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Call Me Jane Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Fleur De Ling | 72 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mystic Dancer | 85 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | December Dawn | 78 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fascination | 79 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mia's Athena | 74 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | A Good Heart | 81 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Scarlet Starlet | - | 79 | 75 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Celestial Diamond | - | 82 | 80 | +2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points