Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 8 MAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ravilious
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
7 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ravilious 3 63.5 1 0.00 2.5 81 81 81 +0 2 Lucky Spirit 3 58.0 2 0.25 2.5 70 70 70 +0 3 Coastal Path 5 61.5 3 1.00 0.0 77 82 82 +5 4 Honorine's Gimmie 3 57.5 4 1.25 2.5 69 69 69 +0 5 Prince Florian 3 59.5 5 1.75 2.5 73 73 73 +0 6 Mio Destino 2 56.0 6 2.00 1.5 69 68 68 -1 7 Always Shining 3 61.0 7 2.25 2.5 76 76 76 +0 8 Notorix 6 57.5 8 3.00 0.0 68 74 74 +6 9 Munchkin 5 53.0 9 3.10 0.0 65 65 65 +0 10 Charlie Malone 5 58.5 10 3.60 0.0 71 76 76 +5 11 Chief Runner 3 52.5 11 5.85 2.5 59 59 59 +0 12 Whatever Next 6 58.5 12 9.35 0.0 71 76 76 +5 99 El Romiachi 8 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravilious Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 2 | Lucky Spirit | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Coastal Path | 77 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Honorine's Gimmie | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Prince Florian | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mio Destino | 69 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Always Shining | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Notorix | 68 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Munchkin | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Charlie Malone | 71 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Chief Runner | 59 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Whatever Next | 71 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | El Romiachi | - | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points