Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: LUCKY FISH GATES OF OLYMPUS C STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Baton Rouge
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eric Liddell 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 80 80 -2 2 Scottish Links 2 57.0 2 2.25 0.0 69 77 77 +8 3 Baton Rouge 4 54.5 3 2.75 1.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Fort Liam 3 60.0 4 3.15 2.5 81 77 77 -4 5 Chance Encounter 2 60.0 5 3.65 0.0 80 81 81 +1 6 Tothemoonandback 5 57.0 6 5.15 0.0 69 74 74 +5 7 Red Dawn 3 61.5 7 7.15 2.5 78 78 78 +0 8 Tunguska 3 57.0 8 7.45 2.5 69 69 69 +0 9 Signor Dante 3 58.5 9 7.50 2.5 74 72 72 -2 10 Show Off 3 60.0 10 10.50 2.5 76 75 75 -1 11 Etoilefillante 4 52.5 11 11.00 1.0 51 63 63 +12 12 Dubbelosix 3 63.0 12 12.00 2.5 83 81 81 -2 13 Coastal Commander 4 60.0 13 19.00 1.0 77 78 78 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Liddell | 82 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Scottish Links | 69 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Baton Rouge Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Fort Liam | 81 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Chance Encounter | 80 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tothemoonandback | 69 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Red Dawn | 78 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tunguska | 69 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Signor Dante | 74 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Show Off | 76 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Etoilefillante | 51 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dubbelosix | 83 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Coastal Commander | 77 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points