Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 10 MAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bay Empire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pretty Analia 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 61 62 61 +0 2 Clouds Clearing 2 60.0 2 0.20 0.0 70 67 67 -3 3 Bay Empire 2 55.5 3 0.90 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Michael Faraday 2 61.0 4 2.65 0.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Itsnowornever 5 59.0 5 3.95 0.0 64 66 66 +2 6 Libeccio 5 57.5 6 4.25 0.0 61 63 63 +2 7 Last Ginger 4 57.0 7 6.50 0.5 60 60 60 +0 8 Prophet 2 60.0 8 7.60 0.0 66 67 67 +1 9 Golden Aspen 6 60.0 9 7.85 0.0 66 67 67 +1 10 Mattiazo 4 61.5 10 8.85 0.5 69 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pretty Analia | 61 | 64 | 61 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Clouds Clearing | 70 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bay Empire Line | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Michael Faraday | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Itsnowornever | 64 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Libeccio | 61 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Last Ginger | 60 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Prophet | 66 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Golden Aspen | 66 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mattiazo | 69 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points