Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 10 MAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Bay Empire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pretty Analia        5    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   61    62           61    +0
2    Clouds Clearing      2    60.0    2    0.20     0.0   70    67           67    -3
3    Bay Empire           2    55.5    3    0.90     0.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Michael Faraday      2    61.0    4    2.65     0.0   71    71           71    +0
5    Itsnowornever        5    59.0    5    3.95     0.0   64    66           66    +2
6    Libeccio             5    57.5    6    4.25     0.0   61    63           63    +2
7    Last Ginger          4    57.0    7    6.50     0.5   60    60           60    +0
8    Prophet              2    60.0    8    7.60     0.0   66    67           67    +1
9    Golden Aspen         6    60.0    9    7.85     0.0   66    67           67    +1
10   Mattiazo             4    61.5    10   8.85     0.5   69    69           69    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pretty Analia 61 64 61 +3 0.0 -
2 Clouds Clearing 70 71 67 +4 0.0 -
3 Bay Empire Line 62 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Michael Faraday 71 71 71 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 Itsnowornever 64 64 66 -2 0.0 -
6 Libeccio 61 60 63 -3 0.0 -
7 Last Ginger 60 58 60 -2 0.5 -
8 Prophet 66 64 67 -3 0.0 -
9 Golden Aspen 66 65 67 -2 0.0 -
10 Mattiazo 69 68 69 -1 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points