Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Ultra Quick
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Definitely Yes 2 61.0 1 0.00 1.5 72 69 69 -3 2 L'Ultimo 2 54.0 2 0.30 1.5 61 55 55 -6 3 Ultra Quick 6 60.0 3 0.90 0.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Got The Word 2 48.0 4 1.40 1.5 53 43 43 -10 5 Mask On 3 52.0 5 1.45 2.5 52 49 49 -3 6 Indecent Proposal 4 55.0 6 1.50 0.0 65 60 60 -5 7 Gorgeous Dude 4 51.0 7 1.55 0.0 55 52 52 -3 8 Music Is Life 2 60.5 8 2.25 1.5 71 68 68 -3 9 Kali Bwana 2 61.0 9 2.50 1.5 75 69 69 -6 10 Higher Love 2 55.0 10 5.70 1.5 68 57 58 -10 11 Lions Eye 2 59.0 11 7.30 1.5 68 65 65 -3 99 Winter Waves 7 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Definitely Yes | 72 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | L'Ultimo | 61 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ultra Quick Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Got The Word | 53 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mask On | 52 | 52 | 49 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Indecent Proposal | 65 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gorgeous Dude | 55 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Music Is Life | 71 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Kali Bwana | 75 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Higher Love | 68 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Lions Eye | 68 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Waves | - | 75 | 70 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points