Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Savannah Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pam's Princess 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 72 72 72 +0 2 Savannah Winter 3 61.0 2 0.05 1.5 82 82 82 +0 3 And We Danced 3 56.0 3 0.55 1.5 72 77 77 +5 4 Buttercup 3 54.5 4 1.30 1.5 69 72 72 +3 5 Time Off 4 52.0 5 1.80 0.5 51 69 69 +18 6 Forward March 4 56.5 6 2.05 0.5 69 78 78 +9 7 Louvain 6 53.0 7 2.30 0.0 62 71 71 +9 8 Shine A Light 4 59.0 8 3.30 0.5 74 81 81 +7 9 Drive By 6 59.0 9 3.40 0.0 78 82 82 +4 10 Diamonds And Toads 4 57.0 10 5.65 0.5 70 76 76 +6 11 Gillian Anne 4 60.0 11 5.90 0.5 79 82 82 +3 12 Autumn Sky 4 52.0 12 6.40 0.5 56 66 66 +10 13 Justadoreher 5 57.0 13 6.50 0.0 70 77 77 +7 14 Miss Venezuela 4 51.0 14 8.25 0.5 61 64 64 +3 15 Miss Otis 3 55.5 15 9.25 1.5 70 71 71 +1 16 Vihzoe's Magic 4 60.0 16 9.50 0.5 76 82 82 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pam's Princess | 72 | 82 | 72 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Savannah Winter Line | 82 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | And We Danced | 72 | 103 | 77 | +26 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Buttercup | 69 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Time Off | 51 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Forward March | 69 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Louvain | 62 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shine A Light | 74 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Drive By | 78 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Diamonds And Toads | 70 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Gillian Anne | 79 | 90 | 82 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Autumn Sky | 56 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Justadoreher | 70 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Miss Venezuela | 61 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 15 | Miss Otis | 70 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Vihzoe's Magic | 76 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points