Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BET WITH TOTE www.tote.co.za CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fast Train 3 58.5 1 0.00 2.5 82 74 74 -8 2 Kelp Forest 5 58.5 2 1.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Winter Pearl 6 54.5 3 1.75 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 October Storm 2 60.5 4 2.15 1.5 86 80 80 -6 5 Kliptown 3 54.5 5 2.90 2.5 79 66 69 -10 6 Loving Prague (AUS) 3 59.0 6 3.30 2.5 83 75 75 -8 7 Groovejet 4 57.5 7 5.05 0.0 80 77 77 -3 8 Moody Blue 3 56.5 8 7.80 2.5 75 70 70 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Train | 82 | 86 | 74 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kelp Forest | 79 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Pearl Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | October Storm | 86 | 86 | 80 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Kliptown | 79 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Loving Prague (AUS) | 83 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Groovejet | 80 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Moody Blue | 75 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points