Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Charlie Bucket
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mutiny In Heaven (I  2    61.5    1    0.00     0.0   75    72           72    -3
2    Ready For The Road   3    57.0    2    1.50     2.0   66    62           62    -4
3    Charlie Bucket       3    60.5    3    1.55     2.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Master Coiner        3    56.0    4    4.30     2.0   64    57           57    -7
5    Quiet Place          3    59.5    5    4.50     2.0   71    64           64    -7
6    Frequent Traveller   3    59.0    6    7.50     2.0   70    63           63    -7
7    Fate Of Pace         3    49.0    7    13.00    2.0   58    43           48    -10
8    Celestial Rocket     2    50.0    8    14.00    0.0   55    49           49    -6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mutiny In Heaven (IRE) 75 78 72 +6 0.0 -
2 Ready For The Road 66 66 62 +4 2.0 -
3 Charlie Bucket Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 2.0
4 Master Coiner 64 63 57 +6 2.0 -
5 Quiet Place 71 68 64 +4 2.0 -
6 Frequent Traveller 70 67 63 +4 2.0 -
7 Fate Of Pace 58 58 48 +10 2.0 -
8 Celestial Rocket 55 55 49 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points