Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Charlie Bucket
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mutiny In Heaven (I 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 75 72 72 -3 2 Ready For The Road 3 57.0 2 1.50 2.0 66 62 62 -4 3 Charlie Bucket 3 60.5 3 1.55 2.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Master Coiner 3 56.0 4 4.30 2.0 64 57 57 -7 5 Quiet Place 3 59.5 5 4.50 2.0 71 64 64 -7 6 Frequent Traveller 3 59.0 6 7.50 2.0 70 63 63 -7 7 Fate Of Pace 3 49.0 7 13.00 2.0 58 43 48 -10 8 Celestial Rocket 2 50.0 8 14.00 0.0 55 49 49 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mutiny In Heaven (IRE) | 75 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ready For The Road | 66 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Charlie Bucket Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Master Coiner | 64 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Quiet Place | 71 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Frequent Traveller | 70 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fate Of Pace | 58 | 58 | 48 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Celestial Rocket | 55 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points