Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Taking A Risk
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Catfish 2 54.5 1 0.00 1.5 87 66 87 +0 2 Taking A Risk 2 56.5 2 2.25 1.5 70 70 70 +0 3 Hammer Blow 3 56.0 3 3.75 2.5 72 67 67 -5 4 Blindfire 2 60.5 4 4.25 1.5 78 78 78 +0 5 Magic Carpet Ride 3 56.0 5 5.75 2.5 66 67 67 +1 6 Ready Set Fire 2 55.0 6 6.05 1.5 67 67 67 +0 7 Gunboat 3 58.5 7 6.35 2.5 74 72 72 -2 8 Duchess Zahra 3 58.5 8 6.55 2.5 74 72 72 -2 9 Bumps Last Grind 2 59.5 9 8.80 1.5 73 76 76 +3 10 Arilena 6 59.5 10 9.10 0.0 73 79 79 +6 11 Inafix 4 56.5 11 10.85 0.0 67 73 73 +6 12 Kia Kaha 3 56.5 12 11.15 2.5 70 68 68 -2 13 Playing Trix 3 61.5 13 22.65 2.5 80 78 78 -2 99 Time Will Tell 2 55.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Twentytwentyvision 2 62.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catfish | 87 | - | 87 | - | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Taking A Risk Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Hammer Blow | 72 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Blindfire | 78 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Magic Carpet Ride | 66 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ready Set Fire | 67 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gunboat | 74 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Duchess Zahra | 74 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bumps Last Grind | 73 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Arilena | 73 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Inafix | 67 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Kia Kaha | 70 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Playing Trix | 80 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Time Will Tell | - | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Twentytwentyvision | - | 79 | 82 | -3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points