Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 28 MAY MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kotinos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dads Dream 2 59.5 1 0.00 1.5 83 66 83 +0 2 Kotinos 3 56.0 2 2.75 2.5 57 57 57 +0 3 Daring Act 4 57.0 3 3.25 0.0 59 64 64 +5 4 Sergeant Soqrat 2 58.5 4 3.75 1.5 68 64 64 -4 5 Stage One 2 57.5 5 3.80 1.5 79 62 69 -10 6 Nkandla Gold 4 58.0 6 5.55 0.0 61 66 66 +5 7 Blup Blup 2 53.5 7 7.55 1.5 55 54 54 -1 8 Spy Story 3 59.0 8 8.30 2.5 63 63 63 +0 9 Tiger Storm 3 60.0 9 8.80 2.5 65 65 65 +0 10 Oriental Bouquet 4 54.0 10 9.55 0.0 56 58 58 +2 11 Bell Of Angelus 2 58.5 11 13.80 1.5 65 64 64 -1 12 Zoombomber 2 57.0 12 99.99 1.5 59 61 61 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dads Dream | 83 | - | 83 | - | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kotinos Line | 57 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Daring Act | 59 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sergeant Soqrat | 68 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Stage One | 79 | - | 69 | - | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Nkandla Gold | 61 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blup Blup | 55 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Spy Story | 63 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tiger Storm | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Oriental Bouquet | 56 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bell Of Angelus | 65 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Zoombomber | 59 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points