Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: #YOUCANBETONUS! MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Detailed Forecast
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Das Gute             4    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   76    82           76    +0
2    Detailed Forecast    2    60.0    2    1.00     1.5   81    81           81    +0
3    Captain Clever       2    48.5    3    1.75     1.5   61    58           58    -3
4    Rhythm               2    59.5    4    1.80     1.5   77    80           80    +3
5    Piton De Neige       4    52.0    5    2.05     0.0   58    68           68    +10
6    One Too Many         3    60.0    6    2.10     2.5   78    79           79    +1
7    Tower Of London      2    53.5    7    2.85     1.5   68    68           68    +0
8    Chief Runner         3    52.0    8    2.95     2.5   56    63           63    +7
9    Greenlight Dancer    2    53.0    9    3.20     1.5   64    67           67    +3
10   Vila Vicosa          3    54.0    10   4.95     2.5   71    67           67    -4
11   Can You Danse        3    57.5    11   5.05     2.5   73    74           74    +1
12   Burning Man          3    57.0    12   5.15     2.5   71    73           73    +2
13   B Fiftytwo           4    50.5    13   6.65     0.0   67    65           65    -2
99   Pomodoro Magic       5    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     68           68    +0
99   Strange Magic        5    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     81           81    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Das Gute 76 76 76 ✓ Match 0.0 -
2 Detailed Forecast Line 81 81 81 ✓ Match 1.5
3 Captain Clever 61 61 58 +3 1.5 -
4 Rhythm 77 77 80 -3 1.5 -
5 Piton De Neige 58 58 68 -10 0.0 -
6 One Too Many 78 76 79 -3 2.5 -
7 Tower Of London 68 68 68 ✓ Match 1.5 -
8 Chief Runner 56 56 63 -7 2.5 -
9 Greenlight Dancer 64 64 67 -3 1.5 -
10 Vila Vicosa 71 71 67 +4 2.5 -
11 Can You Danse 73 73 74 -1 2.5 -
12 Burning Man 71 71 73 -2 2.5 -
13 B Fiftytwo 67 67 65 +2 0.0 -
99 Pomodoro Magic - 52 68 -16 0.0 -
99 Strange Magic - 75 81 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points