Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WSB MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Ragnar Lothbrok
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dean Street 3 59.0 1 0.00 2.5 79 79 79 +0 2 Bluff On Bluff 3 58.0 2 0.75 2.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 55.5 3 1.50 2.5 72 72 72 +0 4 On The Road Again 3 57.0 4 1.60 2.5 75 75 75 +0 5 Silver Salmon 3 60.0 5 2.85 2.5 81 81 81 +0 6 What A Bolt 3 57.0 6 3.35 2.5 75 75 75 +0 7 Auld Mug 3 56.0 7 4.60 2.5 73 73 73 +0 8 Superior Leader 4 55.0 8 5.00 0.0 67 76 76 +9 9 Baltimore Jack 5 58.5 9 7.00 0.0 75 83 83 +8 10 Power Grid 8 60.5 10 9.25 0.0 79 87 87 +8 11 Persistance 3 56.0 11 10.75 2.5 73 73 73 +0 12 Mr Frostie 4 52.0 12 11.05 0.0 60 70 70 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean Street | 79 | 102 | 79 | +23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bluff On Bluff | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ragnar Lothbrok Line | 72 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | On The Road Again | 75 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Silver Salmon | 81 | 65 | 81 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | What A Bolt | 75 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Auld Mug | 73 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Superior Leader | 67 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Baltimore Jack | 75 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Power Grid | 79 | 67 | 87 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Persistance | 73 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Mr Frostie | 60 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points