Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 29 MAY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jet Cat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Magic 3 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 74 66 74 +0 2 Allez Les Bleu (AUS 6 51.0 2 1.50 0.0 57 54 54 -3 3 Jet Cat 9 59.5 3 2.50 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Miss Magician 3 57.0 4 2.75 2.5 69 61 61 -8 5 Who's That Star 3 60.5 5 3.75 2.5 76 68 68 -8 6 Gin And Tonic 3 58.0 6 4.00 2.5 71 63 63 -8 7 Imposing Angel 3 60.0 7 6.00 2.5 75 67 67 -8 8 Grecia 3 56.5 8 6.25 2.5 68 60 60 -8 9 Jam Fancy 4 52.5 9 6.50 0.0 65 57 57 -8 10 Money Fighter 4 54.0 10 11.50 0.0 59 60 60 +1 11 Freedom Dancer 4 52.0 11 13.25 0.0 50 56 56 +6 12 Edward Longshanks 3 53.0 12 99.99 2.5 61 53 53 -8 99 Ice Eater 6 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Raisetheredlantern 4 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Black Burner 3 56.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Magic | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Allez Les Bleu (AUS) | 57 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Cat Line | 71 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Miss Magician | 69 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Who's That Star | 76 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gin And Tonic | 71 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Imposing Angel | 75 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Grecia | 68 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Jam Fancy | 65 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Money Fighter | 59 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Freedom Dancer | 50 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Edward Longshanks | 61 | 62 | 53 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ice Eater | - | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Raisetheredlantern | - | 64 | 57 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Black Burner | - | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points