Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Alfonsa Spagoni
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Purple Operator      3    59.0    1    0.00     2.5   67    62           67    +0
2    Alfonsa Spagoni      6    57.5    2    1.30     0.0   64    64           64    +0
3    Hampton Court        7    60.5    3    1.35     0.0   67    70           70    +3
4    Silver Ducat         2    57.5    4    2.35     1.5   80    61           70    -10
5    Bevoeterd            3    60.0    5    2.40     2.5   69    64           64    -5
6    Dispicable           6    60.0    6    2.65     0.0   66    69           69    +3
7    Fiery Duke           3    54.5    7    2.80     2.5   66    53           56    -10
8    Midnight Badger      5    61.5    8    3.30     0.0   69    72           72    +3
9    Hippocrates          3    55.0    9    3.60     2.5   59    54           54    -5
10   Master Keeku         3    58.0    10   3.75     2.5   65    60           60    -5
11   True Brit            3    56.0    11   8.15     2.5   61    56           56    -5
12   Rainbow Spirit       3    56.0    12   14.55    2.5   69    56           59    -10
99   Valiente             5    62.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Purple Operator 67 74 67 +7 2.5 -
2 Alfonsa Spagoni Line 64 60 64 -4 0.0
3 Hampton Court 67 70 70 ✓ Match 0.0 -
4 Silver Ducat 80 78 70 +8 1.5 -
5 Bevoeterd 69 58 64 -6 2.5 -
6 Dispicable 66 56 69 -13 0.0 -
7 Fiery Duke 66 72 56 +16 2.5 -
8 Midnight Badger 69 77 72 +5 0.0 -
9 Hippocrates 59 68 54 +14 2.5 -
10 Master Keeku 65 62 60 +2 2.5 -
11 True Brit 61 55 56 -1 2.5 -
12 Rainbow Spirit 69 60 59 +1 2.5 -
99 Valiente - 75 73 +2 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points