Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA FM 74 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Free In Seattle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Teo Torriatte 4 54.0 1 0.00 2.0 62 71 62 +0 2 Free In Seattle 3 57.5 2 2.25 4.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Silver Flare 4 50.0 3 2.55 2.0 59 67 67 +8 4 Rosy Lemon 5 59.5 4 2.95 0.0 73 89 89 +16 5 Patches Of Grey 4 58.5 5 3.95 2.0 71 82 82 +11 6 Hearts On Fire 3 60.0 6 6.35 4.5 83 78 78 -5 7 Cartagena 4 52.0 7 8.60 2.0 52 67 67 +15 8 Spirit In The Wind 4 54.5 8 10.60 2.0 63 72 72 +9 9 Play With Fire 4 59.0 9 26.80 2.0 72 81 81 +9 10 Summerland 5 52.0 10 99.99 0.0 45 71 71 +26 11 Whistledown 4 54.5 11 99.99 2.0 63 72 72 +9 99 Angel's Wish 6 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teo Torriatte | 62 | 94 | 62 | +32 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Free In Seattle Line | 78 | 89 | 78 | +11 | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | Silver Flare | 59 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rosy Lemon | 73 | 72 | 89 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Patches Of Grey | 71 | 62 | 82 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hearts On Fire | 83 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Cartagena | 52 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Spirit In The Wind | 63 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Play With Fire | 72 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Summerland | 45 | 45 | 71 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Whistledown | 63 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Angel's Wish | - | 54 | 73 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points